Kingmaker

For other uses, see Kingmaker (disambiguation).

A kingmaker is a person or group that has great influence on a monarchy or royal in their political succession, without themselves being a viable candidate. Kingmakers may use political, monetary, religious, and military means to influence the succession. Originally, the term applied to the activities of Richard Neville, 16th Earl of Warwick—"Warwick the Kingmaker"—during the Wars of the Roses (1455–1487) in England.

Examples

• The prophet Samuel of the Hebrew Bible, in the transition from the period of the biblical judges to the institution of a Kingdom of Israel under Saul, and again in the transition from Saul to David
• Chanakya in the Maurya Empire
• The Praetorian Guard in the Roman Empire
• Yeon Gaesomun in Goguryeo
• John Axouch in the Byzantine Empire
• Tonyukuk in the Second Turkic Khaganate
• Sayyid brothers in the Mughal Empire
• Vidyaranya in the Vijayanagara Empire
• Ricimer in the late Western Roman Empire – magister militum who appointed a series of puppet emperors
• Nogai, Mamai, and Edigu in the Golden Horde
• Janissaries, Midhat Pasha in the Ottoman Empire
• Godwin, Earl of Wessex in late Anglo-Saxon England
• Baron Carl Otto Mörner in the House of Bernadotte (King of Sweden)
• Henry of Blois, Bishop of Winchester during The Anarchy
• Wiremu Tamihana in the Māori King Movement
• Hato Hasbún in El Salvador
• Richard Neville, 16th Earl of Warwick – wealthiest peer in England during the Wars of the Roses, who overthrew King Henry VI and then restored him over his successor King Edward IV
• Hajji Ebrahim Shirazi – the kalantar (lord mayor) of Shiraz and later the grand vizier of Qajar Iran who enthroned four kings from two different dynasties: Jafar Khan, Lotf Ali Khan, Agha Mohammad Khan and Fath-Ali Shah.
• Mithqal Al-Fayez – dubbed the kingmaker of the Hashemites after inviting the then Sharif Abdullah bin Hussein to Jordan and would rebrand his tribal army of Bani Sakher to become the first Arab Army of Transjordan against rebels and Wahhabis in the 1920s.
• Mahatma Gandhi – a pre-eminent political and ideological leader of India during the Indian independence movement under whose influence were all the major political leaders of the Indian freedom struggle including Jawaharlal Nehru and Vallabhbhai Patel
• James Farley – orchestrated the gubernatorial and presidential elections of Franklin D. Roosevelt (1928–1940)
• Che Guevara – accompanied Fidel Castro in the Revolution and later helped him attain power
• K. Kamaraj – instrumental in bringing Lal Bahadur Shastri and Indira Gandhi as Prime Ministers of India in 1964 and 1966, respectively
• G. K. Moopanar – The 'kingmaker' who rose to prominence in the Indian national scene during the post-Emergency days of Prime Minister Indira Gandhi. He was the General Secretary in charge of the Congress Working Committee, a body of High Command in the ruling Indian National Congress government. Moopanar, who decided the fate of Indian National Congress chief ministers in the states of India, was more than any other responsible for the elevation of Rajiv Gandhi to the Premiership on the assassination of his mother, Indira Gandhi. He was the longest serving General Secretary of All India Congress Committee (1980–1988), and served with Indira Gandhi, Sanjay Gandhi and Rajiv Gandhi.
• Girija Prasad Koirala – described as a kingmaker in Nepal with the election of Madhav Kumar Nepal
• Fred Malek – described as a kingmaker for the Republican Party in the United States
• David Axelrod – former Chicago Tribune reporter described by U.S. News & World Report as a "reporter turned kingmaker" with respect to Barack Obama's 2008 presidential campaign.
• Bakili Muluzi – described as a kingmaker in Malawi
• Muhammad Ali Jinnah – an influential politician who became an ideological leader of All-India Muslim League and the first Governor-General of Pakistan; widely regarded as the founder of Pakistan.
• Stefan Cardinal Wyszyński – Primate of Poland who was highly instrumental in the 1978 papal election of Karol Wojtyła, Archbishop of Kraków, as Pope John Paul II
• Abdul Rashid Dostum – Afghan Army Marshal, leader of the Afghan Uzbek community, and founder of Junbish-e Milli known for frequently backing the winning factions and political parties of Afghanistan's wars and elections.
• Rupert Murdoch – a media tycoon in ownership of News Corp and the Fox Corporation who has consistently backed every winning Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since the 1979 general election
• George Soros, hedge fund manager, has had long-standing influence in the Democratic Party. In the 2022 election cycle Soros gave $128 million to the Democratic party.
• Elon Musk, businessman, has donated close to $150 million to presidential candidate Donald Trump and various other Republican candidates in the 2024 presidential election.
• Nick Clegg – described as a kingmaker in the 2010 general election as the leader of the Liberal Democrats following a hung parliament
• Richard J. Daley as Mayor of Chicago and Chairman of the Cook County Democratic Party was the leading figure in the Illinois Democratic Party. As such, he controlled a large bloc of delegates at Democratic National Conventions and provided crucial support to the Democratic Party's presidential nominees, including Adlai Stevenson, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon Johnson, and Hubert Humphrey.
• Jarosław Kaczyński, Poland's kingmaker according to The Financial Times in February 2016.
• Democratic Unionist Party and its leader Arlene Foster became regarded as a kingmaker after the June 2017 general election resulted in a hung parliament in the UK Parliament.
• Winston Peters and his party New Zealand First, New Zealand's kingmaker after both the 1996 and 2017 elections.
• Avigdor Lieberman and his party Yisrael Beiteinu in the September 2019 Israeli legislative election.
• Devlet Bahçeli and his party the Nationalist Movement Party, Turkey's kingmaker according to The Financial Times.
• Albanian parties are said to be Northern Macedonia's kingmaker.
• Kurds in the Middle East.
• Turkey, Libya's kingmaker.
• Adat Perpatih system of customary laws in Negeri Sembilan, Malaysia
• Andrew Asiamah Amoako after the 2020 Ghanaian general election.
• Alliance 90/The Greens and Free Democratic Party after the 2021 German federal election.
• Asif Ali Zardari in Pakistan after No-confidence motion against Imran Khan and selection of Chief Minister of Punjab (Pakistan) Hamza Shahbaz
• The Republicans (LR) were widely regarded as kingmakers in the French National Assembly after the June 2022 parliamentary elections resulted in a hung parliament, leaving them effectively holding the balance of power.
• Sinan Oğan in the 2023 Turkish presidential election
• Ahn Cheol-soo and Chun Jung-bae when their party, People Party won seats in the 2016 South Korean legislative election, meaning that in order to pass legislation, Saenuri Party or Democratic Party would need their support.
• Ko Wen-je and TPP participated in 2024 Taiwanese presidential election and legislative election respectively, the latter caused the first time that no party held an absolute majority in the Legislative Yuan.
• Amit Shah was an instrumental in bringing Narendra Modi to power in the back-to-back elections in 2014, 2019 and 2024 which were held in India.
• Renato Usatîi and Dumitru Ciubașenco of the same party ended up being third behind the socialist candidates and Maia Sandu in the 2016, 2020 and 2024. His support was crucial for the election of Igor Dodon in 2016 and Maia Sandu in 2020 respectively and was therefore described as kingmaker.
• Abu Mohammad al-Julani as a kingmaker of Syria

In game theory

Main article: Kingmaker scenario

In game theory, a kingmaker is a player who lacks sufficient resources or position to win at a given game, but possesses enough remaining resources to decide which of the remaining viable players will eventually win.

Contemporary usage

The term kingmaker, though always unofficial, has tended to gain more importance in places of power struggle—e.g., politics, sports organizations etc. Consequently, bestowal of such a title is looked upon significantly and more often as a means of indirect gratification for individuals wanting to silently dictate the affairs of the organization. The term is also occasionally used in a pejorative sense during elections where a small number of independent political candidate(s) who hold a sizeable sway in the "vote bank" can most likely decide the course of an outcome.

As well as referring to an individual, the term can also be applied to institutions or think tanks whose opinions are held in great regard by the interested organization. The influence of the religious orders like the Roman Catholic Church in running the affairs of the state during medieval times (through the king) is a well-known example. Kingdoms and empires in the Indian sub-continent often relied on their religious heads. Besides religious orders, even countries can fit into this terminology when they can dictate the affairs of the other country (either directly or indirectly). In current political scenarios across the world the term can expand its scope to include powerful lobbying groups, whose role is often seen as a defining factor on major issues.

Citizens of West African sub-national monarchies often use the word kingmaker to refer to the members of the electoral colleges that choose their sovereigns because they also usually officiate during the coronation rituals and rites of purification, the word in this particular case taking on a literal meaning i.e. a maker of the king.

The term kingmaker is also used to describe situations in multi-player games where a player is either unable to win or has claimed an unassailable lead, but, in either case, plays a strong role in determining the outcome for other players.

In fiction

• The character Leon Fortunato from the Left Behind series of novels is often described as a kingmaker.
• Marcus Jefferson Wall, the antagonist of much of the Matador series by Steve Perry is called the Kingmaker, and controls the President of the Galactic Federation
• The character Mayvar Kingmaker from the Saga of the Exiles series of novels tests the ability of aspirants before they can be proclaimed king of the Tanu.
• Ser Criston Cole, a character from George R. R. Martin’s A Song of Ice and Fire series, is commonly referred to as "the kingmaker". In the story in which he appears The Dance of Dragons (The Blacks and the Greens,) the king dies while his eldest child and designated heir is absent from the castle, and Ser Criston, the head of the king's bodyguard, immediately plots with other like-minded individuals to crown the king's second child, because the king's younger child is male, whereas the heir is female. This triggers a nationwide civil war. The Dance of Dragons draws inspiration from both The Anarchy and The War of the Roses, events in British history that each contained kingmaker figures (Henry of Blois and Richard Neville, respectively.)
• Minato Yoko, a character from Kamen Rider Gaim, considers herself a kingmaker, wanting to see who has what it takes to take the Forbidden Fruit, a fruit of great power that can essentially make a person a king. Likewise, another character, Mitsuzane Kureshima, also has traits of a kingmaker, hanging around with and manipulating events so as to put the ruler in his favor.
• Harry Leong, the ultra-rich, secretive billionaire from Crazy Rich Asians, is revealed to be one of the kingmakers in the government of Singapore.
• One of the villains in the NBC TV series The Blacklist went under the alias The Kingmaker.
• Uhtred of Bebbanburg, from Bernard Cornwell's The Saxon Stories and the Netflix adaptation The Last Kingdom, was considered a kingmaker during the succession of King Edward of Wessex after the death of Alfred the Great.
• In the TV series Porus, Porus' uncle, Shiv Dutt, acts as a kingmaker, deposing a king and installing another king in his place.